Doomsayers Are Missing the Real Story

Oct 05, 2025

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This week’s update at a glance

  • Doomsayers vs evidence: Bubble headlines are loud, but price action and money flows can tell a different story.
  • AI as an investable theme: The build-out may look pricey on P/Es, yet financing and flows matter.
  • Breadth improvement: Small caps breaking out adds useful confirmation.
  • Metals momentum: Gold and silver strong; copper back above US$5.
  • Process over prediction: Risk first, rules next, narrative last.

What you’ll learn

  • A practical way to cut through “bubble” noise using trends and flows.
  • How I frame AI as a portfolio theme without prediction-heavy bets.
  • Why breadth and small-cap strength can improve probabilities.
  • How to set guardrails so exits are decided before emotions kick in.

 

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The thinking shift that helps

Swap “Is it a bubble?” for “What is price telling me now, and where are the flows going?” It reduces guesswork and lets a rules-based plan guide the next action.

What history shows (with caveats)

Large innovations often appear “over-valued” during infrastructure build-outs. Leadership can broaden late in a cycle (as small caps do), while tight supply can keep metals firm. None of this removes risk — it simply guides focus.

Where I’m focused now

  • Leadership & momentum: US trend strength intact; breadth improving; Australia mixed.
  • Precious metals: Ongoing strength in gold/silver; prefer buying orderly pullbacks.
  • Copper: Back above US$5 suggests tight supply; stay selective.
  • Risk management: Position sizing and exits defined up front.

 

Important information

Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

Note to traders* The publishers of this article/information/promotion wish to disclose that they may hold this stock in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase this stock should be done so after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this article/information/promotion...

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