2026 Market Outlook: Why My Plan Has Changed

At a glance

• I am extremely bullish about 2026 and the mega trends unfolding.
• Breadth is improving, leadership is broadening, and my list of outstanding targets has never been bigger.
• In 2026, I'm weighting money flows more heavily and being less patient with “great stories” without momentum in the price charts.

What you’ll learn

• Why 2026 may reward momentum and execution more than narrative and logic.
• How I am thinking about volatility, pullbacks, and position sizing as trends strengthen.
• Why I'm increasing weightings in early stage stocks.
• How I start from the top down by focusing on the mega trends with seemingly unassailable tailwinds, use fundamental analysis to make sure we're fishing in the right pond, and most importantly use price charts to guide entries and manage risk.

The thinking shift (in plain English)

The market does not pay you for being right early. It pays you for being positioned when the money is actually flowing. That is why I am placing more weight on what is moving now, and less weight on “great stories” that are still waiting for the market to agree.

The plan is not to predict every dip. The plan is to manage risk, stay aligned with leadership, and be ready to redeploy when opportunities appear.

What history shows (with important caveats)

When breadth improves and leadership expands, it often supports sustained advances, but it does not remove volatility. Corrections can still arrive quickly, especially when positioning gets crowded or the market is leaning too hard in one direction.

The practical takeaway is simple: avoid getting hypnotised by headlines, stay sceptical of crowded trades, and let price action guide your timing.

Where I’m focused now

• Leadership and momentum: I want exposure to what is trending, not what “should” trend.
• 7 mega trends - check them out in my final video of 2025
• Resources and critical materials: selected metals and miners where money flows are turning up.
• Early stage positions (small weights): higher volatility is fine, as long as the purpose is clear.

Important information

_{General information only, not personal advice. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider whether the information is appropriate for you before acting on it. Garry Davis (AR No: 317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).}

_{Note to traders: The publishers of this article and related material may hold positions in securities mentioned. Always do your own research and consider independent advice.}