Winners and Losers Splitting Fast: Don’t Get Caught on the Wrong Side

This week’s update at a glance

• Tariff chaos is back. Policy headlines are moving quickly, and that creates a market environment where prediction gets expensive.
• Winners and losers are separating. This is not a “buy the index and hope” tape. Stock selection matters.
• Gold and silver are acting constructively. After a period of consolidation, the probability of another run is increasing, but timing still matters.
• The core takeaway: build a process, build a target list, and let price action be your guide.

What you’ll learn

• Why “more uncertainty” usually means more bifurcation, not a clean market wide trend.
• How to avoid getting caught wrong-footed by headline driven volatility.
• What I look for to confirm leadership, and what signals I use to step aside.
• How to build a target list so you are ready when the right setups appear.

The thinking shift (in plain English)

When uncertainty spikes, most retail traders do the same thing: they try to predict. The better approach is to decide how you will act and let the market confirm it. I want a tight universe of high probability opportunities, clear rules for entries and exits, and defined risk. That is how you stay on the right side of a two-speed market.

What history shows

Markets can do well in uncertain periods, but the path is rarely smooth. The key is recognising when leadership is expanding and when it is narrowing. In a bifurcated market, the index can look fine while many stocks get punished. That is why process and selectivity matter more than ever.

Where I’m focused now

• Leadership and money flow: stay with strength, avoid the weak that keep failing rallies.
• Precious metals: gold and silver are behaving well after consolidation, and that can create opportunity across quality developers and producers.
• Risk first: this is not the market to “hope”. Define your risk, respect stops, and have a bigger watchlist than the number of stocks you wish to manage.

Important information

_{Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).}

_{Note to traders: The publishers of this article and information wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase should be done after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this article or promotion.}

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