Did Trump Just Trigger the Next Sell-Off?

Oct 12, 2025

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This week’s update at a glance

  • Friday’s reversal revived correction fears. Tariff headlines collided with a stretched tape and risk-off showed up quickly.
  • Money flows over opinions. Breadth, leadership and key moving averages matter more than narratives right now.
  • History context. Post-headline spikes in volatility can reset trends or become deeper pullbacks — breadth is the tell.
  • Risk first. I’m using staged entries, smaller initial size and defined stops until participation improves.
  • Opportunities can follow resets. If leaders hold and breadth stabilises, weakness may set up the next leg higher.

What you’ll learn

  • How I read Friday’s reversal without prediction or panic.
  • Signals that can turn a dip into a genuine correction.
  • What prior tariff shocks and stretched markets suggest, historically.
  • Where I’m focused now across leadership, breadth and risk management.

 

Prefer a lighter commitment? Try a $1 two-week trial of Portfolio Analyst for weekly deep dives — market commentary, recommendations, sector analysis and education. Learn more →

 

The thinking shift (in plain English)

It’s not about predicting headlines — it’s about consistently backing high-probability setups while managing risk. Keep your universe tight, follow the money flows, and execute with discipline.

What history shows (with important caveats)

Across many policy-driven shocks, markets have often experienced fast pullbacks. Durable trends typically survive when participation remains healthy; when breadth narrows and volatility persists, deeper drawdowns can follow. Staying objective through volatility is where much of the edge is realised.

 

Important information

Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

Note to traders* The publishers of this article/information/promotion wish to disclose that they may hold this stock in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase this stock should be done so after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this article/information/promotion...

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