Commodity Trend is Unfolding: Where I'm Fishing in 2026

Jan 18, 2026

Turn the commodity theme into a plan

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At a glance

  • The rotation reset is still driving money flows. Capital moves when confidence changes, and that shows up across currencies, equities and commodities.
  • Precious metals remain strong. Gold and silver continue to act like leadership areas as the US dollar trends lower.
  • Copper has a powerful demand backdrop. Demand plus stockpiling and supply constraints can create the kind of conditions where trends can run for years, with volatility along the way.
  • The real edge is execution. Commodities can reward organised investors, and punish everyone else. You need a clear plan, plus exits you can act on.

What you’ll learn

  • Why the commodity theme can continue unfolding, even after strong moves
  • How money flows and charts keep you faster than headlines and narratives
  • Where leverage can appear in resource stocks (and why the risk rises with it)
  • How to avoid the classic mistakes that volatility forces on unprepared investors

 

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The thinking shift

The big picture matters, but it is not a timing tool. I treat fundamentals as confirmation, and I use the charts and money flows to guide entries, exits, and position sizing. In an environment like this, slow decision making can be expensive.

Commodities can trend for years, but they rarely move in straight lines. Consolidations are normal. That is why I do not rely on “targets” as a strategy. I focus on staying aligned with the trend and acting quickly when the evidence changes.

What history shows

When global capital starts shifting, it is rarely a one week event. It tends to show up as a sustained change in leadership, with pressure on crowded, high multiple areas, and strength building in sectors that benefit from real asset demand and supply constraints.

The important point is this: even “good” themes can be traded badly. History is full of investors who were right on the story, but wrong on the timing and risk management.

Where I’m focused now

  • Precious metals: gold and silver remain constructive, with the potential for more upside over time.
  • Copper: I am treating this as a “buy the dip” style trend, focused on quality producers and standout developers, with clear risk controls.
  • Other critical metals: watch lists matter here because leadership can rotate quickly as money flows shift.
  • Risk first: avoid low quality “rising tide” stories that do not deserve capital. Volatility makes that mistake expensive.

 

Important information

General information only, not personal advice. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider whether the information is appropriate for you before acting on it. Garry Davis (AR No: 317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).

Note to traders: The publishers of this video and related material may hold positions in securities mentioned. Always do your own research and consider independent advice.

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