US-Iran War: What It Means for Gold, Silver, Energy, Tech

This week’s update at a glance

• Geopolitics can move markets fast. The initial reaction usually shows up in oil, currencies, and risk appetite.
• Commodities vs tech is the key split. Energy and precious metals can catch a wave, while high-multiple tech can wobble.
• Gold and silver respond to fear and liquidity. I’m watching for confirmation in money flow rather than trying to predict the headline path.
• It’s about scenarios, not certainties. The job is to manage risk and position for what price is doing, not what we think should happen.

What you’ll learn

• Why oil and the Strait of Hormuz narrative matters for sentiment and inflation expectations.
• How I think about gold vs silver in risk events, and what can invalidate the move.
• The sectors that can benefit (and the ones that often struggle) when fear spikes.
• A simple framework for Monday: levels, confirmation, and position sizing.

The thinking shift (in plain English)

When markets are driven by headlines, prediction becomes the enemy. My focus is money flow first, fundamentals second. Price tells you where capital is actually moving. The goal is not to be right about geopolitics. The goal is to be aligned with the dominant flow, with clear risk defined if the market disagrees.

What history shows (with important caveats)

Markets often react in two phases: an initial risk-off impulse, then a reassessment once the likely economic transmission mechanisms are clearer (oil, inflation, rates, and growth expectations). That reassessment can be fast. It is why I lean on confirmation in price and leadership rather than trying to trade the headline.

Where I’m focused now

• Energy: Watch oil for gap risk and follow-through. If the move fades quickly, it often tells you the fear premium is being sold.
• Gold and silver: I want confirmation through key levels and sustained demand, not a one-day spike.
• Tech and semis: High-multiple sectors can be sensitive to rate expectations. I’m watching whether leadership holds or rolls over.

Important information

_{Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).}

_{Note to traders* The publishers of this article/information/promotion wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase should be done after you have made your own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this article/information/promotion.}

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