US-China Truce: Headlines vs Reality (The Investing Perspective)
Stop settling for average
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- Entry & exit recommendations across multiple portfolios (ASX & US)
- Market analysis & strategy
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This week’s update at a glance
- US–China “truce”: unlikely to shift primary drivers; markets still keying off earnings, liquidity and leadership.
- Follow flows, not headlines: semiconductors and select resources remain the cleanest tells.
- Gold watch: testing support; I want flows to confirm before leaning in.
- Process over prediction: combine fundamentals with technicals; act when odds tilt in your favour.
What you’ll learn
- How to separate geopolitical noise from genuine market catalysts.
- Why price and money flows usually lead narratives.
- Where I’m watching for leadership across semis, energy and metals.
- The conditions that can mark a bottom in gold.
Prefer a lighter commitment? Join our $1 trial for 2 weeks to get the weekly deep dive — market commentary, recommendations, sector analysis and education — in Portfolio Analyst. Learn more →
The thinking shift (in plain English)
There are only two kinds of opportunities: those with a high probability of a positive outcome you can repeat, and everything else. Narrow your universe to the former and your results change — often dramatically. Simpler rules, fewer decisions, better execution.
What history shows (with important caveats)
Past cycles where leadership had genuine cashflows often persisted despite sharp corrections. That’s context, not certainty. Selection and risk controls still matter — especially when expectations stretch.
Where I’m focused now
- Leadership & momentum: semis/large-cap tech still set the tone; watching breadth.
- Precious metals: monitoring the gold setup for higher-probability entries; silver in tandem.
- Selectivity over “own everything”: dispersion is high; entries, sizing and exits are the edge.
Important information
Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107).
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